Randomness is just lack of information

We remember last time they met, an amazing over rule by the chair umpire. A close 3 set match which Errani won in deciding TB:

They have met 5 times before with Yanina leading the H2H with 3-2. 4 of them on HC and 1 on IH. And Yanina have taking at least 1 set every single time. I think she will make it this time as well. And she actually won in just 3R AO in 2010.

I don’t know if Yanina is going to pull the upset but she will have a shoot. As Errani is struggling to get speed on her second services. I think Yanina have a good game plan here and she will fire those second serves back. With a 80 mph second serve and some of them not even clocked because they were so slow Errani struggle even against small players like Soler-Espinosa, who should have won second set – as she was 3-0 up in TB but lost 7 straight points. With Yanina even taller and more powerful – this should be an even bigger problem for Errani.

But, Errani is a fighter and very consistent player, a player that don’t suit Yanina to well if she enters the error mode she can. I think we will see a close match but Yanina should be able to take a set as she have done in their 5 recent encounters.

1.75 is too high imo as others are priced around 1.65.

Wickmayer Y. + 1,5 set – 1.75 @ Pinnacle

Wickmayer wins 6-4 4-6 3-6 WON

+170.81. Units - 109.82%

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